Global Market Outlook for 2026
As of January 2026, major global markets are characterized by several key trends:
AI-Driven Polarization: Equity markets are increasingly split between high-growth AI sectors and "old economy" sectors, leading to record market concentration.
Growth Divergence: Emerging markets, particularly India (forecast at ~6.6% growth) and Saudi Arabia, are currently outpacing developed regions like the US (~2.0%) and the Eurozone (~1.0%).
Technological Shifts: Investment in AI infrastructure is reaching record levels, with global CAPEX for the sector expected to approach US$1,000 billion by 2028.
Resilience Amid Risk: While global GDP growth is forecast to remain steady at approximately 3.0%, institutions like J.P. Morgan cite a 35% probability of a global recession later in 2026 due to persistent inflation and geopolitical fragmentation.
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